Blog

Jul 31, 2015

Soybean Sales Cancellations

In the overnight session the grains traded mixed with corn up 1 3/4 cents, soybeans down 2 cents and wheat up 5 3/4 cents. Crude oil is trading down 69 cents and the U.S. Dollar has shed nearly 1 percentage point. Soybeans have struggled over the last two days to rise above the 100 day moving average which looms overhead at $9.56. This morning China canceled 200,000 metric tons of old crop soybean sales.

Jul 30, 2015

Grains Higher on Strong Export Sales

In the overnight session the grains traded higher with corn up 3 3/4 cents, soybeans up 10 1/4 cents and wheat up 5 1/2 cents this morning. The U.S. dollar is up nearly 1/2 a percent and crude oil is 29 cents higher. A reportable sale of 140,000 metric tons of old crop soybeans was announced this morning.

Export sales were strong this morning with soybeans and wheat beating analyst expectations. Old crop corn sales booked 364,900 metric tons which was within the analyst expectations and up sharply from last week’s marketing year low.

Jul 29, 2015

Keep an Eye Out for Basis Opportunities

In the overnight session the grains traded slightly lower with corn down 5 1/4 cents, soybean down 3/4 of a cent and wheat trading down 5 cents this morning as nearly ideal Midwest weather continues to be the focus. December corn is now only 18 cents off the lows it printed on June 15th and 16th. The U.S. dollar is trading a fraction of a percent higher and crude oil is down 43 cents. Asian markets traded higher on Wednesday with Shanghai closing up 3.44 percent.

Jul 28, 2015

Pricing Where it Matters

Cody breaks down how to get the best prices for your crop and reviews chart technicals

Jul 28, 2015

Market Finds Footing in Overnight

In the overnight session the grains seemed to find some footing with corn up a penny, soybeans up 10 1/4 cents and wheat in Chicago up 4 1/2 cents. The U.S. dollar is trading nearly 1/2 a percent higher and crude oil is up 11 cents. A reportable sale of 120,000 metric tons of sorghum for delivery to China was announced this morning. The sale was split between old and new crop delivery.

Crop conditions were released after the market closed yesterday and showed that corn conditions increased 1 percent in the good-to-excellent category to 70 percent. The market was expecting to see conditions mostly unchanged on the week.

Jul 27, 2015

Monday Morning Sell-Off

In the overnight session the grains traded sharply lower with corn down 10 1/2 cents this morning, soybeans down 13 cents this morning and wheat down 5 1/2 cents this morning for the December contracts. The U.S. Dollar is trading over 1/2 a percent lower and crude oil is also lower, losing 80 cents this morning.

今天上午12月玉米缺口低开$3.99 after closing on Friday at $4.02. It will be important to pay close attention to the close of today’s session since there are many levels of support that cross at $3.98 including the 62 percent retracement, the 100 day moving average and a trend. A rebound this morning with a close above $3.98 could signal a short term bottom in prices.

Jul 24, 2015

Grains Continue Lower on Friday Morning

In the overnight session the grains traded lower with corn down 5 cents, soybeans down 7 cents and wheat down 5 cents. The U.S. dollar is higher by nearly ½ a percent and crude oil is 33 cents higher this morning. For Soybeans, the 50 percent retracement of the sharp rally in November soybeans sits at $9.70 ½ which is just 4 cents lower than where soybeans is trading this morning. The 50 percent retracement of the Corn rally is at $4.08 ¼ which was touched during yesterday's trade. This morning Corn trades at around $4.09 ½ cents.

Jul 23, 2015

Can Export Sales Lift Wheat?

In the overnight session the grains moved slightly higher with wheat showing the largest rebound, up 5 ¾ cents. Corn is trading unchanged this morning and soybeans is up ¾ of a cent. The U.S. dollar is moving nearly 1/3 of a percent lower and crude oil is up 12 cents per barrel. Export sales were mostly on the low side of analyst expectations except for wheat which booked 502,800 metric tons this week. Wheat sales were up 73 percent on the week and beat analyst expectations which ranged from 200,000 to 400,000 metric tons. Old crop corn sales recorded 223,400 metric tons which was down 33 percent from the previous week missing analyst expectations which ranged from 250,000 to 450,000 metric tons. Old crop soybeans recorded positive sales this week, adding 80,800 metric tons to the books. Analyst were expecting between 0-150,000 metric tons booked this week.

Jul 22, 2015

Lagging New Crop Sales

Jul 22, 2015

Will Weather Turn Positive for Crops?

在一夜之间会话的谷物交易降低gain with corn down 5 ¼ cents, soybeans down 3 cents and wheat down 8 cents. The U.S. dollar is up 1/5th of a percent and crude oil 66 cents lower. Corn is trading just above the 50 percent retracement level at $4.09 from the rally that started June 16th and recently peaked at 4.54 ¼ cents on July 14th. November soybeans is trading around the $10 level with a mild support level around $9.92.The grains are moving lower this morning with the forecast showing a positive outlook for crop development over the next 10 days. The eastern Midwest which has been getting hit with excessive moisture in the early part of the growing season is expected to receive only limited showers, while the outlook in Iowa and Nebraska is for the weather to turn wetter for the next 10 days. Heat events are expected to be limited with only a few mild events expected over the weekend and early next week. Canada is also expected to receive beneficial rains for their wheat and canola crop.

Jul 21, 2015

Crop Conditions Hold Steady

In the overnight session the grains traded mixed with corn down 2 cents, soybeans up 1 ¾ cents and wheat down 4 ¼ cents. The U.S. Dollar is lower by 1/5th of a percent and crude oil is up 14 cents this morning. This morning the USDA reported 110,000 metric ton sale of U.S. soybeans to unknown destinations. The crop conditions report was released after the market closed on Monday and showed that corn and soybeans rated good-to-excellent was left unchanged at 69 percent and 62 percent respectively.

Jul 20, 2015

Grains Slide Lower In The Overnight

In the overnight session the grains traded lower with corn down 8 ¾ cents, soybeans down 12 ¾ cents and wheat in Chicago down 10 ¼ cents. The U.S. dollar is trading a fraction of a percent higher and crude oil is unchanged on the day. This morning the Taiwan Flour miller’s Association issued a tender for 104,350 metric tons of wheat to be purchased from the United States.

Jul 17, 2015

GrainTV: Will Lagging Export Sales Be Able to Match Expectations?

Cody reviews the export sales and weather outlook

Jul 16, 2015

Mixed Export Sales

Jul 16, 2015

Grains Pop Thursday Morning

In the overnight session the grains are trading higher with December corn up 6 3/4 cents, November soybeans up 8 3/4 cents and wheat in Chicago up 4 cents. The U.S dollar is trading up nearly ½ a percent and crude oil is up 26 cents this morning. Old crop export sales showed weekly declines for both corn and wheat. In the weekly sales report wheat booked 291,500 metric tons which was a 16% decline from the previous week. Corn sales were a marketing year low, declining 38 percent from the previous week with 331,100 metric tons sold. Soybeans showed positive sales with 45,500 metric tons booked which is expected considering the time of year. New crop sales were strong for soybeans booking 507,000 metric tons for 15/16 delivery. New crop corn sales were also strong with 325,100 metric tons sold, up from only 149,010 metric tons sold last week.

Jul 15, 2015

Can Prices Hold onto their Gains?

In the overnight session the grains traded lower with corn down 2 3/4 cents soybeans down 5 3/4 cents and wheat down 7 cents this morning. The U.S dollar is up a 1/4 of a percent and crude oil is down 35 cents this morning. China’s stock market turned lower in the second half of Wednesday’s trading session closing 3 percent lower. China’s selling pressure in the equities could have a negative impact on soybeans this morning.

Jul 13, 2015

Monday Mycotoxin Report for July 13, 2015

Above average rain affects the US

Jul 13, 2015

Traders eager for Crop Conditions Report

In the overnight session, the grains are trading slightly lower with corn down 1 1/4 cents on the September contract, soybeans down 7 1/4 cents and wheat down 4 3/4 cents going into this morning’s pause in trade. The U.S dollar is trading up 1/2 a percent and crude oil is down 70 cents this morning.

On Friday the USDA released their July WASDE report which showed no yield revisions from the previous month. The average trade guess, however, was expecting to see a 1.1 bushel per acre decrease in soybean yield and a 1.4 bpa decrease in corn yield.

Jul 10, 2015

Weekly Cash Comments

Grain basis was mostly stable this week as farmer selling was limited following the sell-off in futures after the June 30th USDA report. On average across the US, both corn and soybean basis was mostly unchanged.

In corn, flooding in Missouri and southern Illinois continues to take its toll on crop production as well as hamper barge movements along the Mississippi River. Water levels are expected to crest in the next week and could continue to plague barge movements.

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Magazine

Marketwatch: Jun, 12

US Corn Price Idx:ZCPAUS.CM

open: 7.7377
high: 7.807
low: 7.677
close: 7.7526

US Soybean Price Idx:ZSPAUS.CM

开放:17.2303
high: 17.2303
low: 16.9512
close: 16.9916

US Hard Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:KEPAUS.CM

开放:11.0255
high: 11.2341
low: 10.9614
close: 11.1675

US Soft Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:ZWPAUS.CM

开放:10.036
high: 10.2027
low: 9.9514
close: 10.1276