Jun 24, 2015

Grains pull back in the overnight

The grains gave back some of the gains in the overnight session as traders prepare for the USDA planted acreage report to be released the end of June.

In the overnight session the grains traded lower with corn down 3 1/4 cents, wheat down 2 3/4 cents and soybeans down 6 1/2 cents. Crude oil is trading 10 cents lower and the U.S. dollar is down a fraction of a percent. The market will be focusing on the June 30th planted acreage numbers that is expected to have the biggest impact on Soybeans.

Soybeans were only 90 percent planted as of Monday which is 5 percent behind normal pace. Rains forecast across the Midwest this week helped lift soybean prices as traders became nervous about the remaining unplanted acreage. Allendale estimates corn planted acreage at 91.742 million acres which is up from the 89.199 million acres forecast by the USDA in March. Allendale expects soybean acreage to increase to 85.105 million acres which is up from 84.635 million acres estimated by the USDA in the March 31st report. The July soybean contract is currently above the 100 day moving average but is giving back some of its gains this morning. Look at 974 1/4 as a support level for today and tomorrows trade session.

冬小麦收获is behind the average pace during this time of the year. On Monday, the crop progress announced that only 19 percent of the crop had been harvested which is behind the 31 percent harvested we typically see. Harvest prospects look to be mostly uninterrupted in the near term with some scattered storms expected on Thursday and Friday. However, the forecast turns wet again for the beginning of July which is likely to continue to disrupt harvest pace. Traders are also concerned about the wheat quality after the plains received significant moisture late in the growing season. Head scab has spread rapidly in the winter wheat fields of central Kansas.

Cody Bills

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Magazine

Marketwatch: Jun, 13

US Corn Price Idx:ZCPAUS.CM

open: 7.7377
high: 7.807
low: 7.677
close: 7.7526

US Soybean Price Idx:ZSPAUS.CM

open: 17.2303
high: 17.2303
low: 16.9512
close: 16.9916

US Hard Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:KEPAUS.CM

open: 11.0255
high: 11.2341
low: 10.9614
close: 11.1675

US Soft Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:ZWPAUS.CM

open: 10.036
high: 10.2027
low: 9.9514
close: 10.1276