Hurricane Ida Hits the Delta

艾达飓风袭击了三角洲

• Hurricane Ida was a dangerous Category 4 hurricane and is slowing its forward progress across SE Louisiana/Mississippi producing 9 to 14 inches of rain

• Not many crops are produced in southeastern Louisiana where the strongest wind, greatest storm surge and heaviest rain is expected

• 在密西西比州以及路易斯安那州东北部的一些最大的生产区域，对北部的农作物的损害可能是最大的

• 下三角洲的玉米大部分是收获的。三角洲东北部的玉米可以放置，但预计风速足够低以限制受损

• Soybeans may be damaged in low-lying areas where flood water will be a problem

• Cotton lodging is possible in southern most production areas, and cotton could be strung out of bolls, but bolls that are open are not fully open

fbn的Take OnWhat It Means:Remnants of Ida will bring heavy rain to parts of Tennessee, southeastern Kentucky, the southern Appalachian Mountains and a few interior southeastern US locations, but crop damage is less likely in those areas and rainfall may be beneficial for areas that were mostly missed last week.

Statistics Canada Issues Initial Production Outlook

• Wheat production is seen at 22.9 million tonnes, down from 35.2 million last year or 35%

• Of the total wheat, durum production is seen at a slim 4 million tonnes, down from 6.6 million last year

• 春季小麦的生产预计为1600万吨或削减38％，而一年前

• Barley production is forecast at 7.8 million tonnes, down nearly three million versus 2020’s harvest

• 低芥酸菜籽的生产预计为1,470万吨，低于去年的1950万吨，2019年的1,990万吨

• Pea production is seen at 2.6 million tonnes versus 4.6 million last year

• Lentil production is forecast at 2.0 million tonnes versus 2.9 million a year ago

• Oat production is forecast at 3.1 million tonnes, down 33% versus 2020

• Soybean production is forecast at 5.8 million tonnes, down 8% from last year

fbn的Take OnWhat It Means:生产总量几乎是对几种农作物的平均市场预期。该报告并没有大惊喜，但确实强调了我们本年份面临的严峻生产情况。该报告不一定是看涨或看跌，而是进一步证实了我们今年的小收成。

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