Oct 29, 2015

Grains Mostly Steady Overnight

Fed announced no change in interest rates yesterday.

Grains were mostly steady overnight as corn and wheat were gravitating towards unchanged while soybeans was up a penny. Stock futures and crude oil were lower giving back some of yesterday’s gains.

Yesterday, EIA showed a drop in ethanol production for the week of 7,000 barrels per day, down to 944,000 barrels per day. At this time of year production levels for ethanol generally increase until the end of the year so seeing even a one-week drop is problematic for demand bulls.

在一夜之间消息,埃及投标购买更多的小麦nd although the results have not been announced the lowest offer was from Poland at $195.84 FOB. The last Egypt wheat deal went to Russia and Romania. Jordan also announced a tender to buy hard milling wheat but that deal is expected to go to Europe. And the Korea Feed Association rejected all offers on a tender to buy corn, stating that prices were too high.

In outside markets, the Fed announced no change in interest rates yesterday, but said economic indicators on housing and business investment were improving, helping to offset employment issues and global weakness. As such, analysts are leaning more to a rate hike in December as a result of the Fed’s guidance, versus Q1 in 2016 prior to yesterday’s announcement. S&P futures (ESZ5) initially sold off following the announcement but recovered to close the day higher.

The cost of crude oil (GCLZ5 / QMZ5) fell on Thursday as traders took profits after prices rallied in the previous session, driven by smaller-than-expected crude stockpile growth in the US. On Wednesday, the EIA said the nation's crude stockpile grew by 3.4 million barrels last week, below the estimate of a 4.1 million-barrel increase by the industry group API. However, US oil output, whose booming growth in the past few years has fueled the global glut of crude, rose slightly last week. While US production peaked in April at 9.6 million barrels a day, it has remained stable around 9.1 million for the past few weeks.

美国农业部每周出口年代ALES (in thousand metric tons)

Actual Expected

Corn 708.8 300-500

Soybeans 2,156 1,600-2,000

Wheat 550 350-550

The risk of trading futures, hedging, and speculating can be substantial. Grain Hedge is a dba of Foremost Trading LLC (NFA ID: 0307930)

Cody Bills

Recently Added to Buyer's Guide

Metris Vibe

  • Wireless vibration and temperature sensor can monitor health status of mechanical equipment regardless of original manufacturer
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Ride-On Hopper Gate Opener

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  • Designed for high-volume applications

Model FA Belt Cleaner

  • Multi-bladed spring arm conveyor belt cleaner
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3-Rolls Assembly Upgrade

  • For Paladin 2000 automatic roller adjustment system
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Pneumatic Conveying System

  • Pneumatic dense phase conveying is dust tight
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Magazine

Marketwatch: Jun, 11

US Corn Price Idx:ZCPAUS.CM

open: 7.7377
high: 7.807
low: 7.677
close: 7.7526

US Soybean Price Idx:ZSPAUS.CM

open: 17.2303
high: 17.2303
low: 16.9512
close: 16.9916

US Hard Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:KEPAUS.CM

open: 11.0255
high: 11.2341
low: 10.9614
close: 11.1675

US Soft Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:ZWPAUS.CM

open: 10.036
high: 10.2027
low: 9.9514
close: 10.1276