Jan 20, 2017

Chicago Soybeans Slid for a Second Session

US Dollar Recouped Losses on Friday

Chicago soybeans slid for a second session on Friday with a strong dollar weighing on prices, although crop-damaging floods in Argentina kept a floor under the market. The dollar recouped earlier losses on Friday while stocks were little changed as investors refrained from big bets ahead of Trump’s inauguration as US President.

Soybeans are drawing support from the threat of rain-damage to crops in Argentina, the world’s third largest soybean exporter and the top supplier of soymeal and soyoil. Argentina will harvest 52.9 MT of soy this season, the Rosario grains exchange said on Thursday, cutting its previous 54.4 MT forecast due to bad weather.

US producers are poised to plant 90.52 million acres of soybeans later this year, topping the all-time high set in 2016 by about 7 million acres, a recent Farm Futures survey indicates.

小麦在浓缩的连续第三个交易日下跌erns over slowing demand after prices earlier this week climbed to their highest since August.

Weekly Export Sales-

(based on reports from exporters for the period Jan 6-12, 2017)

Actual Expected

Corn 1,368 900-1,200

Soybeans 980 400-600

Wheat 243 250-450

出口销售数量for corn were up noticeably from the previous week and 69 percent from the prior 4-week average; soybeans were also up from the previous week and 22 percent from the prior 4-week average. Wheat was down 38 percent from the previous week and 33 percent down from the prior 4-week average.

The dollar held its gains on Friday as investors braced for US President-elect Donald Trump to be sworn in, while the Euro rebounded as the European Central Bank held policy steady. A stronger dollar makes US agricultural producers uncompetitive in the world market, giving advantage to rival exporters in South America and the Black Sea region.

The risk of trading futures, hedging, and speculating can be substantial. Grain Hedge is a Branch of Foremost Trading LLC (NFA ID: 0307930)

Kevin McNew

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Magazine

Marketwatch: Jul, 24

US Corn Price Idx:ZCPAUS.CM

open: 6.5608
high: 6.6757
low: 6.4725
close: 6.4945

US Soybean Price Idx:ZSPAUS.CM

open: 14.2808
high: 14.5786
low: 14.2613
close: 14.4692

US Hard Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:KEPAUS.CM

open: 7.8864
high: 7.9864
low: 7.6343
close: 7.6926

US Soft Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:ZWPAUS.CM

open: 7.2509
high: 7.3459
low: 6.9561
close: 7.0046