Weekly Export Sales Report

Weekly Export Sales Report

• 旧作物大豆销售，截至7月9日的一周，是1150万蒲式耳，前一周大幅下降。
• 新作物豆销售额为2110万蒲式耳，在期望中，包括1430万至中国，将其2020/21人共度为1.69亿。
• 上周的旧作物玉米销售额为3860万蒲式耳，这在期望范围内，九周内最高。
• 旧作物玉米销售额为3020万蒲式耳对中国，将2019/20总购买量为8270万蒲式耳。
• New crop corn sales of 25.8 million bushels were well below market expectations.
• Wheat sales of 28.1 million bushels were above market expectations and were the highest of the first six weeks of the 2020/21 marketing year.
• Upland cotton saw net sales reductions of -17,500 running bales for 2019/2020 and 29,100 running bales for 2020/2021.

FBNTake On What It Means: Last week’s sales report held few positive surprises compared to expectations. Next week's new crop sales will obviously be quite strong given the daily announcements to China in recent days.

Russian Wheat Crop Down

• Russia's Hydrometcentre reported unfavourable weather in the first half of July for its spring grains.
• Hot and dry weather in the east and heavy rains in the west are both hindering crop development.
• Russia's agriculture ministry kept its forecast for the 2020 grain harvest unchanged at 122.5 million tonnes, including 75 million tonnes of wheat.
• Russian agriculture consultant IKAR recently decreased its wheat crop forecast to 76.5 million tonnes.
• SovEcon downgraded its estimates for wheat earlier this week due to low yields in southern regions to 79.7 million tonnes.

FBNTake On What It Means: The ‘Southern Region’ and neighboring areas in eastern Ukraine have all dried down during the past week. Soil moisture is short to very short with the driest conditions noted in Southern Russia. Russia is still on track to harvest a large grain crop this year, equal to an average crop of recent years, but concern over production potentials is rising. The reduction may provide opportunity for exports from other origins later in the season, but the recent rally in US prices makes supplies here uncompetitive.

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