Jul 21, 2014

Grains Gap Lower in the Overnight Session

Corn, soybeans and wheat all moved lower in the overnight session as near ideal conditions during pollination weigh on prices.

This morning all the grains are trading lower as ideal weather during pollination weighs heavily on the market. September corn is trading down 6 cents, September wheat is down 3 ¾ cents and August soybeans is trading 4 ¾ cents lower.

This afternoon’s crop progress report should show unchanged conditions ratings and nearly 50% of the corn and soybean crop entering the reproductive phases. Weather looks to remain very favorable for the remainder of the week with NOAA and private analysts both expecting cool temperatures across much of the grain belt. Showers should be light and intermixed, continuing to support soil moisture.

The longer term outlook remains favorable, with the 8-to-14-day forecast from Planalytics projecting below average temperatures and above average precipitation for the majority of the grain belt. This is confirmation of NOAA’s projections from last week for a cool, wet, August for the U.S. Grain Belt.

新的作物大豆现在远离lo 6美分w printed at $10.65 per bushel following the last USDA supply and demand report. Since then new crop soybeans rallied to $11.18 ¾ last Thursday, helped to its high on Thursday by the Malaysian airlines incident over eastern Ukraine. The geopolitical event was used as a selling opportunity after the initial reaction sent soybean prices higher. Keep a close watch on new crop soybeans around $10.65 which should act as a strong support level during today’s trade.

Over the weekend France and Germany both received precipitation that stopped fieldwork during harvest. The moisture throughout Europe during harvest has caused quality concerns for the wheat in that region. This is has been an ongoing story this year for European wheat and the U.S markets are unlikely to respond to it in any kind of meaningful way.

On the demand side this morning we have a few wheat tenders across the news wires that shouldn't affect the overall direction of the trade here this morning. Turkey’s state grain agency issued an international tender to import 165,000 metric tons of milling wheat and 65,000 metric tons of animal feed barley. Also, private Egyptian buyers were in the market purchasing 60,000 metric tons of wheat from the Black Sea region.

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Magazine

Marketwatch: Jun, 23

US Corn Price Idx:ZCPAUS.CM

open: 7.6851
high: 7.7708
low: 7.6601
close: 7.7517

US Soybean Price Idx:ZSPAUS.CM

open: 16.1862
high: 16.2065
low: 15.9449
close: 15.9841

US Hard Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:KEPAUS.CM

open: 10.1219
high: 10.2002
low: 9.9409
close: 9.954

US Soft Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:ZWPAUS.CM

open: 9.3251
high: 9.4576
low: 9.1464
close: 9.1849