May 11, 2017

Weekly Export Sales Numbers Disappointing This Morning

Grains Weaker Heading Into the Morning Break

Grains were feeling weaker heading into the morning break as dismal export sales pushed prices lower.


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Yesterday’s USDA report did little to change the overall outlook of abundant US and global supplies. The first reporting of new-crop 2017 carry-out did show ending stocks being cut, but at 914 MB of wheat and 2,110 MB of corn, these are still historically high values. Soybean carry-out was smaller than expected at 485 MB vs 555 expected, but it was made possible by a huge 100 MB increase in exports which may be difficult to muster in an environment with massive South American supplies.

今天早上,CONAB撞他们的巴西大豆作物forecast to 113 MMT, up from a previous forecast of 110 MMT. Corn is expected to come in at 92.8 vs a previous estimate of 91.5 MMT. Yesterday, USDA pegged those crops at 111.6 and 96, respectively.

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This morning’s weekly export sales report were disappointing as corn saw net cancellations for new-crop delivery and old-crop deals that were a paltry 277,000 MT vs 700-900,000 expected.

Export Sales-

Actual

Estimated

Wheat - OC

-24

100-300

Wheat - NC

273

150-350

Corn - OC

277

700-900

Corn - NC

-55

50-250

Soybeans-OC

381

300-500

Soybeans-NC

70

0-200



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Kevin McNew

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Marketwatch: Aug, 22

cmdty National Corn Price Idx:ZCPAUS.CM

open: 6.0653
high: 6.0678
low: 5.9182
close: 5.9684

cmdty National Soybean Price Idx:ZSPAUS.CM

open: 13.0351
high: 13.0676
low: 12.6039
close: 12.724

cmdty National Hard Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:KEPAUS.CM

open: 6.9983
high: 7.0308
low: 6.8038
close: 6.8708

cmdty National Soft Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:ZWPAUS.CM

open: 6.8206
high: 6.8556
低:6.6625
close: 6.7121