May 10, 2017

USDA Demand Data to be Released Today at 11 CST

Traders expect Corn and Wheat to see a Drop in Carry Out

Grains were mixed in narrow ranges ahead of the USDA report to be released later this morning.


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Overnight, France’s Ag Ministry dropped their wheat carry-out projections for the 2nd month in a row based on higher projected exports. They peg wheat stocks at 2.4 MMT for 2016/17 versus 2.6 MMT last month. This would be a 3-year low and off from the 3.3 million mark last year.

In soybeans, traders will carefully scrutinize USDA demand data in the upcoming report. Projections put US carry-out for 2017 at 555 MB, up from the current year carry-out of 445 MB. Soybeans have been supported of late by slow farmer selling in Brazil. Even with a record large crop, farmers there have only sold 50% of their production, a number that is normally around 65% for this time of year.

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For corn and wheat, traders expect both crops to see about a 200 MB drop in carry-out between old- and new-crop years. On wheat, USDA will be pegging the winter wheat crop from surveys for the first time this year. Analysts expect a 1,293 MB crop, off from 1,672 last year.

The risk of trading futures, hedging, and speculating can be substantial. Grain Hedge is a Branch of Foremost Trading LLC (NFA ID: 0307930)

Kevin McNew

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杂志

Marketwatch: May, 20

US Corn Price Idx:ZCPAUS.CM

open: 7.6578
high: 7.8
low: 7.6428
close: 7.7388

US Soybean Price Idx:ZSPAUS.CM

open: 16.4244
high: 16.6536
low: 16.4219
close: 16.5985

US Hard Red Winter Wheat Price Idx:KEPAUS.CM

open: 12.2461
high: 12.5836
low: 12.2061
close: 12.378

美国柔软的红色冬季小麦价格IDX:ZWPAUS.CM

open: 11.3809
high: 11.6744
low: 11.3259
close: 11.4086