Reuters Poll on Brazil Soybean Crop

路透社民意调查显示，巴西大豆农作物为1.226亿吨

这个国家在早期种植阶段production outlook can change drastically in the next few months.

该市场希望巴西逐年增长种植区，但增长要比最近几年小。

美国农业部对巴西生产的9月预测为1.23亿吨。

Both of these forecasts are above Brazil’s harvest last year.

FBN’s Take On What It Means:While planting season is in its early stages, Brazil is expected to remain the world’s top soybean exporter. Brazil’s harvest size will be reflected in futures prices with weather in the exporting country key in the coming months. Absent trade improvements between the U.S. and China, Brazil will retain its majority share of China’s imports.

China’s Reports August Pig Herd Down 38.7% Compared with Last Year

African swine fever continues to spread throughout the country.

The Ministry of Agriculture reported that the disease is in every province.

The sow herd reportedly is down 37.4 percent compared with a year ago.

This has contributed to the rise of pork prices, which are up 78 percent from a year ago.

Other protein sources also have seen increases in price with chicken up 21 percent from last year, beef up 17 percent, and eggs up 13 percent.

China plans to continue to release frozen pork from reserves to help stabilize prices.

FBN’s Take On What It Means: The African swine fever problem is not expected to diminish quickly. However, the ongoing trade war is keeping China’s interest in U.S. products limited. China is working with several countries to improve trade with Brazil being a key partner. From a soybean side, if other countries are increasing pork production to help China offset losses, there could be improved export opportunities for the U.S. China and the U.S. are scheduled to meet in October to discuss the ongoing trade war.

The risk of trading futures, hedging, and speculating can be substantial. FBN BR LLC (NFA ID: 0508695)

—Kevin McNew